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Mood seasonality around the globe

Yigit Atilgan, K. Ozgur Demirtas, A. Doruk Gunaydin and Imra Kirli

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2023, vol. 82, issue C

Abstract: This paper examines the existence of mood seasonality, documented by Hirshleifer et al. (2020, JFE) for the cross-section of US equity returns, in an international setting. First, we confirm the results of the original study. Next, we extend these findings to non-US markets and show that they are not sample-specific. A stock's relative historical seasonal returns are positively correlated with its relative future seasonal returns during similar or congruent mood periods and negatively related with its relative future seasonal returns during dissimilar or non-congruent mood periods. Moreover, both regression and portfolio analyses indicate that mood beta, the sensitivity of equity returns to aggregate investor mood, helps explain these mood seasonality effects.

Keywords: Equity return seasonality; Investor mood; Mood beta; Behavioral finance; Market efficiency; International finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G12 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23002421

DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.102171

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