The economic effects of a counterinsurgency policy in India: A synthetic control analysis

Saurabh Singhal and Rahul Nilakantan

European Journal of Political Economy, 2016, vol. 45, issue C, 1-17

Abstract: Using the synthetic control method, we analyze the economic effects of a unique counterinsurgency response to the Naxalite insurgency in India. Of all the states affected by Naxalite violence, only one state, Andhra Pradesh, raised a specially trained and equipped police force in 1989 known as the Greyhounds, dedicated to combating the Naxalite insurgency. Compared to a synthetic control region constructed from states affected by Naxalite violence that did not raise a similar police force, we find that the per capita NSDP of Andhra Pradesh increased significantly over the period 1989–2000. Further, we find that the effects on the manufacturing sector are particularly strong. Placebo tests indicate that these results are credible and various difference-in-difference specifications using state and industry level panel data further corroborate these findings.

Keywords: Synthetic control method; Counterinsurgency; Conflict; Naxalite insurgency; India (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F52 H56 O11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:poleco:v:45:y:2016:i:c:p:1-17

DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2016.08.012

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