The 2015 refugee inflow and concerns over immigration
Katia Gallegos Torres
European Journal of Political Economy, 2023, vol. 78, issue C
Abstract:
How did the large asylum-seeker inflow to Germany in 2015 affect concerns about immigration? Using individual-level panel data for the years 2012–2018 and a policy that allocates asylum-seekers to districts, I identify the effect of exposure to asylum-seekers. In line with the contact hypothesis, living in a high refugee migration district reduced concerns about immigration by 3 pp. Alternatively, a 1 pp. increase in the share of asylum-seekers in the population reduced these concerns by 3.4 pp. The effect appears larger for right-leaning respondents and is driven by districts that do not host a large reception centre. However, the overall trend indicates that after 2015 concerns about immigration increased by about 21 pp. and support for extreme right-wing parties by about 1.7 pp. These trends show considerable heterogeneity for different demographic groups.
Keywords: Immigration; Refugees; Attitudes; Concerns about immigration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 J15 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:poleco:v:78:y:2023:i:c:s0176268022001264
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2022.102323
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