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Pollution or crime: The effect of driving restrictions on criminal activity

Paul Carrillo (), Andrea Lopez-Luzuriaga () and Arun Malik

Journal of Public Economics, 2018, vol. 164, issue C, 50-69

Abstract: Driving restriction programs have been implemented in many cities around the world to alleviate pollution and congestion problems. Enforcement of such programs is costly and can potentially displace policing resources used for crime prevention and crime detection. Hence, driving restrictions may increase crime. To test this hypothesis, we exploit both temporal and spatial variation in the implementation of Quito, Ecuador's Pico y Placa program, and evaluate its effect on crime. Both difference-in-differences and spatial regression discontinuity estimates provide credible evidence that driving restrictions have increased crime rates.

Keywords: Crime; Difference-in-differences; Regression discontinuity; Crime displacement (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C20 Q52 R28 R48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Working Paper: Pollution or Crime: The Effect of Driving Restrictions on Criminal Activity (2016) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2018.05.007

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