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Playing the lottery or dressing up? A model of firm-level heterogeneity and the decision to export

Wim Naudé, Thomas Gries and Natasa Bilkic

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2015, vol. 58, issue C, 1-17

Abstract: In models of firm heterogeneity whether firms export or not depends on their productivity. These models assume that firms enter a market only to find their productivity levels revealed to them as in a lottery. However, if productivity is not determined as in a lottery, why do some firms export early and some late? In this paper we propose a model of firm heterogeneity to address this question. In our model exporting is an investment decision with a real option value. Our model illustrates that whether not a firm exports is a matter of timing. Some firms may always find it more worthwhile to postpone exporting, depending on the nature of the product, the target market, and firm-level characteristics. For instance, our model shows that firms evaluating exporting to a volatile, or two foreign market, will need more time to dress up (prepare) for this. We derive implications for policies to support exporting.

Keywords: International entrepreneurship; Firm-level heterogeneity; Start-ups; Real options; Stochastic dynamic programming (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D81 D92 L26 M13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:58:y:2015:i:c:p:1-17

DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2015.02.010

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