Uncertainty quantification of an Aviation Environmental Toolsuite

Douglas Allaire, George Noel, Karen Willcox and Rebecca Cointin

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2014, vol. 126, issue C, 14-24

Abstract: This paper describes uncertainty quantification (UQ) of a complex system computational tool that supports policy-making for aviation environmental impact. The paper presents the methods needed to create a tool that is “UQ-enabled†with a particular focus on how to manage the complexity of long run times and massive input/output datasets. These methods include a process to quantify parameter uncertainties via data, documentation and expert opinion, creating certified surrogate models to accelerate run-times while maintaining confidence in results, and executing a range of mathematical UQ techniques such as uncertainty propagation and global sensitivity analysis. The results and discussion address aircraft performance, aircraft noise, and aircraft emissions modeling.

Keywords: Uncertainty quantification; Sensitivity analysis; Environmental system models; Aircraft emissions model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:126:y:2014:i:c:p:14-24

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2014.01.002

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