Rare event simulation for dynamic fault trees

Enno Ruijters, Reijsbergen, Daniël, Pieter-Tjerk de Boer and Stoelinga, Mariëlle

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2019, vol. 186, issue C, 220-231

Abstract: Fault trees (FT) are a popular industrial method for reliability engineering, for which Monte Carlo simulation is an important technique to estimate common dependability metrics, such as the system reliability and availability. A severe drawback of Monte Carlo simulation is that the number of simulations required to obtain accurate estimations grows extremely large in the presence of rare events, i.e., events whose probability of occurrence is very low, which typically holds for failures in highly reliable systems.

Keywords: Fault tree analysis; Rare event simulation; Importance sampling; Monte Carlo simulation; Dynamic fault trees (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:186:y:2019:i:c:p:220-231

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.02.004

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