 Playing chemical plant protection game with distribution-free uncertaintiesLaobing Zhang, Genserik Reniers and Xiaogang Qiu Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2019, vol. 191, issue C Abstract: A common criticism on game theoretic risk analysis of security threats is that it requires quantitative parameters of both the defender and the attacker, whereby the parameters of the attackers especially are difficult to estimate. In the present paper, a game theoretic model for chemical plant protection, able to deal with the defender's distribution-free uncertainties on the attacker's parameters (Interval CPP Game), is proposed. The Interval CPP Game only requires the interval(s) in which the attacker's parameter(s) is (are) located, instead of the exact number of the parameter(s). Two algorithms are developed, namely the Interval Bi-Matrix Game Solver (IBGS) and the Interval CPP Game Solver (ICGS), for solving general bi-matrix games with interval payoff uncertainties and especially for solving interval CPP games, respectively. Both algorithms are based on mixed integer linear programming (MILP). Theoretic analysis as well as a case study shows that including the defender's uncertainties on the attacker's parameters would reduce her equilibrium payoff. Keywords: Chemical plant protection; Game theory; Distribution-free uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:191:y:2019:i:c:s0951832017301175 DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2017.07.002 Access Statistics for this article Reliability Engineering and System Safety is currently edited by Carlos Guedes Soares More articles in Reliability Engineering and System Safety from Elsevier |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.