Assessing resilience of urban lifeline networks to intentional attacks

Lin Han, Xudong Zhao, Zhilong Chen, Huadong Gong and Benwei Hou

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2021, vol. 207, issue C

Abstract: Lifeline networks are critical to urban economies and societies. Resilience is an emerging concept for analyzing the dynamic performances of critical infrastructures impacted by natural hazards or attacks. Although many studies have examined how to assess the resilience of lifeline networks to natural disasters, very few have investigated resilience to intentional attacks. This study presents a framework for assessing the resilience of urban lifeline networks to intentional attacks. Using a game-theoretic model, this framework can firstly predict the most likely strategies of both the attacker and defender at Nash equilibrium as the preconditions for resilience assessment. Then a new feature ‘degree of recovery’ is proposed to quantify differences in network's performance (pre-attack vs. post-recovery). The framework also integrates a requirement for functional characteristics in designing the performance response function of lifeline networks. In the case study of IEEE 30-bus network, the most likely strategies of attacker and defender at Nash equilibrium were figured out. Then the resilience of network was assessed and thoroughly discussed. The results showed that the recovery resource and budget had different effects on the resilience. Furthermore, it was demonstrated how the assessment framework can provide a quick reference tool for optimal decision-making under various scenarios.

Keywords: Lifeline network; Intentional attack; Resilience; Recovery; Game-theoretic model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:207:y:2021:i:c:s0951832020308371

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107346

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