AK-SESC: a novel reliability procedure based on the integration of active learning kriging and sequential space conversion method

Ala Ameryan, Mansour Ghalehnovi and Mohsen Rashki

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2022, vol. 217, issue C

Abstract: To deal with evaluating small failure probabilities, AK–SESC: a novel approach integrating an active learning Kriging meta-model (AK-MCS) and the SESC, a sequential space conversion method, is suggested. The efficiency of the proposed approach relies on the advantages of the AK-MCS and its updating feature to evaluate the actual performance function and the superiority of SESC in estimating small failure probabilities. Although there are effective methods for small probabilities, the beauty of this approach is that it is derived from the probability integral with no simplifications while providing results of high accuracy.

Keywords: Active learning; Subset simulation; Kriging; Control variates; Reliability analysis; Failure probability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:217:y:2022:i:c:s0951832021005433

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.108036

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