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MC-based simulation approach for two-terminal multi-state network reliability evaluation without knowing d-MCs

Ping-Chen Chang

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2022, vol. 220, issue C

Abstract: A two-terminal multi-state network (TMSN) is a network (system) with multi-state subsystems (arcs and nodes) and two terminals (source and sink nodes). In a TMSN, system reliability is a widely applied performance indicator of demand satisfaction. To assess system reliability, previous studies relied on knowing the upper bounds (d-MCs) or lower bounds (d-MPs) for specified demand d and a given capacity probability distribution. Accordingly, a novel minimal cut (MC)-based simulation approach is proposed, which does not rely on knowing the d-MCs and capacity probability distribution. An algorithm based on Monte Carlo simulation with demand confirmation via MCs is developed to estimate system reliability. In addition, an extension with a time attribute is examined to investigate the reliability degradation with time. Additional case studies, including a real-life instance of the Taiwan Academic Network, are analyzed to validate the scalability and applicability of the proposed approaches.

Keywords: Two-terminal multi-state network (TMSN); System reliability; Simulation approach; Minimal cut (MC) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:220:y:2022:i:c:s0951832021007602

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.108289

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