An efficient sequential Kriging model for structure safety lifetime analysis considering uncertain degradation
Peng Hao,
Haojun Tian,
Hao Yang,
Yue Zhang and
Shaojun Feng
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2025, vol. 255, issue C
Abstract:
Safety lifetime analysis performs a crucial role in ensuring structural safety in service and developing effective maintenance strategies, which also places higher demands on calculation. However, existing safety lifetime analysis methods generally suffer from inefficiency, which is more prominent for complex engineering structures. In this paper, a novel sequential single-loop Kriging (SSK) surrogate modeling approach is proposed to calculate the safety lifetime in an efficient and accurate manner. To reduce the computational cost, a single-loop safety lifetime analysis framework is proposed. In this framework, there is no need to accurately calculate the time-dependent failure probability (TDFP) in any sub-time interval. By searching the safety lifetime in the process of time-dependent reliability analysis (TRA) and dynamically adjusting the interest time interval, the safety lifetime can be quickly determined by constructing only one Kriging model. To maximize the utilization of sample information, SSK employs a modified learning function that allows most of the training points to be added before the safety lifetime. For accuracy, a convergence criterion that includes two Kriging models is proposed. Mathematical engineering examples are used to illustrate the accuracy and efficiency of SSK. The proposed method offers a promising approach for efficient safety lifetime analysis of engineering problems.
Keywords: Safety lifetime analysis; Time-dependent failure probability; Kriging; Reliability analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024007403
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:255:y:2025:i:c:s0951832024007403
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110669
Access Statistics for this article
Reliability Engineering and System Safety is currently edited by Carlos Guedes Soares
More articles in Reliability Engineering and System Safety from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().