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Sensitivity analysis in presence of model uncertainty and correlated inputs

Julien Jacques, Christian Lavergne and Nicolas Devictor

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2006, vol. 91, issue 10, 1126-1134

Abstract: The first motivation of this work is to take into account model uncertainty in sensitivity analysis (SA). We present with some examples, a methodology to treat uncertainty due to a mutation of the studied model. Development of this methodology has highlighted an important problem, frequently encountered in SA: how to interpret sensitivity indices when random inputs are non-independent? This paper suggests a strategy for the problem of SA of models with non-independent random inputs. We propose a new application of the multidimensional generalization of classical sensitivity indices, resulting from group sensitivities (sensitivity of the output of the model to a group of inputs), and describe an estimation method based on Monte-Carlo simulations. Practical and theoretical applications illustrate the interest of this method.

Keywords: Global sensitivity analysis; Model uncertainty; Model mutation; Correlated inputs; Multidimensional sensitivity indices (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:91:y:2006:i:10:p:1126-1134

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2005.11.047

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