Sensitivity analysis in conjunction with evidence theory representations of epistemic uncertainty

J.C. Helton, J.D. Johnson, W.L. Oberkampf and C.J. Sallaberry

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2006, vol. 91, issue 10, 1414-1434

Abstract: Three applications of sampling-based sensitivity analysis in conjunction with evidence theory representations for epistemic uncertainty in model inputs are described: (i) an initial exploratory analysis to assess model behavior and provide insights for additional analysis; (ii) a stepwise analysis showing the incremental effects of uncertain variables on complementary cumulative belief functions and complementary cumulative plausibility functions; and (iii) a summary analysis showing a spectrum of variance-based sensitivity analysis results that derive from probability spaces that are consistent with the evidence space under consideration.

Keywords: Epistemic uncertainty; Evidence theory; Sensitivity analysis; Uncertainty analysis; Variance decomposition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:91:y:2006:i:10:p:1414-1434

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2005.11.055

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