Evaluation of the reliability of transport networks based on the stochastic flow of moving objects
Wei-wei Wu,
Angelika Ning and
Xuan-xi Ning
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2008, vol. 93, issue 6, 838-844
Abstract:
In transport networks, human beings are moving objects whose moving direction is stochastic in emergency situations. Based on this idea, a new model—stochastic moving network (SMN) is proposed. It is different from binary-state networks and stochastic-flow networks. The flow of SMNs has multiple-saturated states, that correspond to different flow values in each arc. In this paper, we try to evaluate the system reliability, defined as the probability that the saturated flow of the network is not less than a given demand d. Based on this new model, we obtain the flow probability distribution of every arc by simulation. An algorithm based on the blocking cutset of the SMN is proposed to evaluate the network reliability. An example is used to show how to calculate the corresponding reliabilities for different given demands of the SMN. Simulation experiments of different size were made and the system reliability precision was calculated. The precision of simulation results also discussed.
Keywords: Stochastic moving network; Saturated flow; Blocking cutset; System reliability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:93:y:2008:i:6:p:838-844
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2007.03.030
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