Analysis of the crash of TK 1951 using CATS

B.J.M. Ale, L.J. Bellamy, J. Cooper, D. Ababei, D. Kurowicka, O. Morales and J. Spouge

Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2010, vol. 95, issue 5, 469-477

Abstract: On February 25, 2009, flight TK 1951, a Boeing 737-800 operated by Turkish Airlines, crashed approximately 1.5km before the intended runway at Amsterdam Schiphol Airport. On board were 135 people—128 passengers and 7 crew. Of these 9 were killed and 86 were injured. The aircraft was destroyed. The official inquiry into the cause of the accident is being conducted by the Dutch Safety Board (Onderzoeksraad Voor Veiligheid, OvV). Prior to the accident the Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management had already embarked on a project to model the accident genesis of air transport accidents with the aim of quantifying the risks of air traffic and supporting the development of further measures and methods to reduce these risks. In this paper information regarding the accident is confronted with an analysis using the Causal model for Air Transport Safety (CATS). This enables drawing of some more theoretical conclusions about the accident and about the validity of CATS.

Keywords: Aircraft accident; Risk analysis; Accident investigation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:reensy:v:95:y:2010:i:5:p:469-477

DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2009.11.014

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