Spatial dependence in apartment transaction prices during boom and bust
Dongwoo Hyun and
Stanimira Milcheva ()
Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2018, vol. 68, issue C, 36-45
Due to the illiquid and intransparent nature of housing markets, property sellers and buyers may hugely rely on information about transaction prices of nearby properties with comparable characteristics to agree upon a transaction price. We show that the spatial dependence in house prices is more pronounced in a rising housing market than in a falling market and can be associated with behavioural biases such as sellers’ loss aversion tendency or herding of buyers. Using a spatio-temporal autoregressive model for 30,541 apartment transactions in Seoul, South Korea between 2006 and 2015, we find that spatial dependence in house prices is eight time higher in a boom as opposed to a bust. This shows huge asymmetric spatial effects across apartment transactions which suggests that neighbouring property prices can serve as an appropriate benchmark during a rising market but they may not be suitable to capture the housing market dynamics in a falling market. This implies that behavioural aspects such as sellers’ loss aversion should be taken into account in the price formation when house prices are falling.
Keywords: Spatio-temporal autoregressive model; Hedonic house price; Spatial dependence; Loss aversion; Boom and bust (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 D12 E32 R15 R21 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:regeco:v:68:y:2018:i:c:p:36-45
Access Statistics for this article
Regional Science and Urban Economics is currently edited by D.P McMillen and Y. Zenou
More articles in Regional Science and Urban Economics from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().