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Urbanization policy and economic development: A quantitative analysis of China's differential hukou reforms

Wen-Tai Hsu and Lin Ma

Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2021, vol. 91, issue C

Abstract: The household registration system (hukou system) in China has hampered rural-urban migration by posing large migration friction. The system has been gradually relaxed in the past few decades, but the reforms have been differential in city size. We find a striking contrast in migration patterns between years 2005 and 2015; rural people tended to move more to large cities in 2005, but more to small- and medium-sized cities in 2015. We calibrate a spatial quantitative model to the world economy in both years with China divided into rural, mega-city, and other-city regions. We find that alternative urbanization policies that are not differential and that are more laissez-faire substantially improve national welfare, in magnitudes that are comparable to the welfare gains from the trade liberalization that China has put in place in the past.

Keywords: Hukou system; Household registration system; Differential reform; Urbanization policy; Economic development; Spatial quantitative analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:regeco:v:91:y:2021:i:c:s0166046220303240

DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2020.103639

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