Do applications respond to changes in asylum policies in European countries?

Simone Bertoli, Herbert Brücker and Jesús Fernández-Huertas Moraga

Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2022, vol. 93, issue C

Abstract: We analyze the role of origin-destination-time specific policy measures in shaping the location choices of asylum seekers across European countries. We estimate a gravity equation that reflects the uncertainty that asylum seekers face concerning the chances of obtaining refugee protection, the processing time and the risk of repatriation. German efforts to expand their processing capacity are correlated with a significant increase in applications from origins with high recognition rates, which were mostly diverted away from Sweden. For Syrians, the observed variations in processing times increased applications in Germany by 16.1 percent, and led to a 35.3 percent reduction in Sweden between 2014 and 2015.

Keywords: Refugees; Recognition rate; Processing time; Gravity equations; Migration; Safe countries of origin (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 K37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:regeco:v:93:y:2022:i:c:s0166046222000023

DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2022.103771

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