A review of future weather data for assessing climate change impacts on buildings and energy systems

Zhaoyun Zeng, Kim, Ji-Hyun (Jeannie), Haochen Tan, Yuqing Hu, Parag Cameron-Rastogi, Daniel Villa, Joshua New, Jiali Wang and Ralph T. Muehleisen

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2025, vol. 212, issue C

Abstract: The effectiveness of climate change impact assessments and the development of adaptation strategies depend on the availability of high-quality future weather data. However, significant gaps exist between the needs of the energy research community and the focus of the climate modeling community, primarily due to a historical lack of communication and collaboration between the two groups. To address this issue, this work provides a comprehensive overview of the critical aspects involved in creating future weather data for building and energy system modeling, including emissions scenarios, general circulation models, downscaling methods, categories of future weather data, and uncertainties in climate simulations. Moreover, it critically evaluates the applicability and suitability of various types of future weather data in five key application scenarios: energy use analysis, resilience analysis, HVAC design, utility-scale analysis, and renewable energy analysis. Finally, this work presents recommendations for high-level actions and research directions to foster collaboration between the energy research and climate modeling communities and to promote the integration of future weather data into energy codes and the design practices of buildings and energy systems.

Keywords: Climate change; Impact assessment; Typical meteorological year; Extreme weather event; Resilience; Renewable energy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2024.115213

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