Global de-diversification and stock returns

Xiao Cheng, Ying Sophie Huang and Tao Wang

Research in International Business and Finance, 2024, vol. 69, issue C

Abstract: Using international firm-level data, we show that when a multinational corporation reported zero total sales made by its foreign operations, it constitutes a salient signal of global de-diversification. A simple long-short strategy portfolio that buys stocks of multinational firms and sells stocks of ex-multinational firms that report zero foreign sales earns up to 85 basis points per month (over 10% per year). Further examination suggests that investors’ inattention and limits to arbitrage could explain this return predictability. This paper is among the first to document evidence of the impact of global de-diversification on stock returns.

Keywords: Multinational firms; Predictable returns; Global de-diversification; Limited attention; Limits to arbitrage (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:69:y:2024:i:c:s0275531924000850

DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102292

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