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Climate risk perception and oil financialization in China: Evidence from a time-varying Granger model

Xiaohang Ren, Chenjia Fu and Yi Jin

Research in International Business and Finance, 2025, vol. 74, issue C

Abstract: Financialization has introduced a new dimension to the oil market by incorporating various financial instruments and market participants. This study thus firstly measures the oil financialization by using daily data on Shanghai crude oil futures and Shanghai composite index. The results identify a lower level of oil financialization in China, implying that the oil market is independent on the stock market. Moreover, the exogenous events volatile the degree of oil financialization. We then estimate the impact of climate risk perception on oil financialization using a time-varying Granger model. Novel evidence finds negative and significant time-varying coefficients of climate risk perception on oil financialization, indicating that the effect of climate risk perception is non-constant over time. The empirical results reinforce the implications of the bounded rationality decision and signal theory.

Keywords: Climate risk perception; Oil financialization; Shanghai crude oil futures; Time-varying Granger model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 G41 Q40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:74:y:2025:i:c:s0275531924004550

DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102662

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