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Does time series momentum also exist outside traditional financial markets? Near-laboratory evidence from sports betting

Jonas Vandenbruaene, Marc De Ceuster and Jan Annaert

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), 2023, vol. 104, issue C

Abstract: The presence of time series momentum in the returns of financial assets puzzles economists. We show that this anomaly is also present in sports betting, a seemingly unrelated market and a near-laboratory setting. We find both a statistically significant and economically meaningful difference between the returns of bets on recent winners compared to recent losers. These differences are not due to rational compensations for variance or skewness, but are in line with underreaction. The bookmakers do not appear to react efficiently to new information.

Keywords: time series momentum; sports betting; underreaction; asset pricing; behavioral finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G14 G40 Z2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:soceco:v:104:y:2023:i:c:s221480432300040x

DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2023.102014

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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics) is currently edited by Pablo Brañas Garza

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