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Climate change, tipping points, and economics

Aart de Zeeuw

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), 2024, vol. 109, issue C

Abstract: This paper discusses the response of the economics profession to a possible occurrence of tipping points in natural systems, with a drop in welfare. For a climate tipping point, the hazard-rate model is relevant, and the paper shows that in a Ramsey growth model with climate tipping, the effect on policy is increased saving and increased taxation of greenhouse gas emissions. Climate change is often seen as a tragedy of the commons because incentives to deviate undermine cooperation and prevention of climate change. However, a climate tipping point can be prevented in a Nash equilibrium or with partial cooperation if the drop in welfare is sufficiently high. In case of uncertainty about the threshold, this result remains if the uncertainty is not too large. In the conclusion, the paper makes a few remarks on including tipping points in teaching environmental and resource economics.

Keywords: Climate tipping points; Economic policy; Growth; Tragedy of the commons (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C61 C70 O44 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:soceco:v:109:y:2024:i:c:s2214804324000259

DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102185

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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics) is currently edited by Pablo Brañas Garza

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