 Future time reference and risk aversionDonald Lien Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), 2024, vol. 113, issue C Abstract: Chen (2013) suggests a weak future time reference (FTR) language would encourage the speaker to undertake the investment through the distance effect (i.e., future appears closer with weak FTR) and the precision effect (i.e., weak FTR leads to less precise future reward timing which increases the expected future value due to the convex discounting function). This paper provides an analytic counterexample invalidating this conclusion. To be specific, Chen's argument assumes the speaker is risk neutral. We incorporate risk aversion into the consideration and show that both effects would magnify the return and the risk of the investment simultaneously. Consequently, an appropriate degree of risk aversion can overturn the Chen's conclusion. We show the waiting time to receive the return from the investment plays an important role. When the expected waiting time is short or the uncertainty of the waiting time is large, a weak FTR language is more likely to decrease the investment. Keywords: Future time reference; Distance effect; Precision effect; Risk aversion (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:soceco:v:113:y:2024:i:c:s2214804324001289 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102291 Access Statistics for this article Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics) is currently edited by Pablo Brañas Garza More articles in Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics) from Elsevier |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.