Young and out: An application of a prospects-based concept of social exclusion

Oddbjørn Raaum, Jon Rogstad, Knut Røed () and Lars Westlie

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), 2009, vol. 38, issue 1, 173-187

Abstract: We develop a forward-looking empirical concept of social exclusion based on the estimated transition probabilities from a random effects multinominal Logit-model. Youths are considered socially excluded if they are currently outside school/work and have a low predicted probability of re-entering in the near future. Implemented on extraordinary rich event-history data of compulsory school graduates, we estimate social exclusion among Norwegian youths and find that social exclusion propensity is (i) non-cyclical; (ii) much more prevalent among young adults in their early twenties than among teenagers; (iii) strongly dependent on family background; and (iv) independent of gender.

Keywords: Social; exclusion; Educational; attainment; School; to; work; transition; Youth; unemployment; Duration; dependence; Family; background (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: Young and Out: An Application of a Prospects-Based Concept of Social Exclusion (2005)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:soceco:v:38:y:2009:i:1:p:173-187

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