Non-compliance in transit-based evacuation pick-up point assignments

Qingyi Wang and Stein Wallace

Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 2022, vol. 82, issue PB

Abstract: In the literature on evacuation planning, a basic assumption is that all evacuees are fully compliant with respect to the officially planned evacuee-to-facility assignments. However, this assumption is challenged in reality. Hence, we propose two-stage stochastic evacuation pick-up point assignment models, which explicitly incorporate uncertain non-compliance behavior of evacuees. In the first stage, evacuees of each demand point are assigned to a specific transit pick-up point. In the second stage, imbalances of evacuees at each pick-up point are revealed based on the first-stage assignments and the realized non-compliance relevant scenarios. With numerical studies and a case study, we investigate the importance of including correlated stochastic non-compliance behavior in the models, illustrate that our models are effective to produce better pick-up point assignment plans and obtain managerial insights on evacuation planning and model applications.

Keywords: Evacuation planning; Evacuee non-compliance behavior; Pick-up point assignments; Stochastic programming (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:soceps:v:82:y:2022:i:pb:s0038012122000374

DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2022.101259

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