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Natural resources and the spread of HIV/AIDS: Curse or blessing?

Olivier Sterck

Social Science & Medicine, 2016, vol. 150, issue C, 271-278

Abstract: This paper answers two questions: “What impact have natural resources had on the spread of the HIV epidemic so far?” and “What role can natural resource rents play in order to finance the long-run response to HIV/AIDS?” Using a panel dataset covering 137 countries from 1990 until 2008, de Soysa and Gizelis (2013) provided evidence in Social Science & Medicine that oil-rich countries are more deeply affected by the HIV and TB epidemics. They concluded that government of resource-rich countries failed to implement effective public policies for dealing with the epidemics. In this paper, I show that their results are (1) not robust, (2) based on an inappropriate choice of dependent variable and (3) spurious because series are non-stationary. After correcting for these issues, I find no robust relationship between resource rents and the spread of HIV and TB. The paper concludes by emphasizing the potential of natural resources rents for financing the long-term liability brought about by the HIV/AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa.

Keywords: HIV/AIDS; Natural resources; Resource curse; Epidemics; Spurious regression; Non-stationarity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Working Paper: Natural resources and the spread of HIV/AIDS: curse or blessing? (2014) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2015.09.023

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