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Subjective life expectancy in the US: correspondence to actuarial estimates by age, sex and race

John Mirowsky

Social Science & Medicine, 1999, vol. 49, issue 7, 967-979

Abstract: This study maps the relationship between subjective and actuarial life expectancy in a 1995 national sample of 2037 Americans of ages 18-95. Subjective estimates parallel age-specific actuarial ones based on current age-specific mortality rates. However males expect to live about 3 years longer than the actuarial estimate and blacks expect to live about 6 years longer. The apparent optimism remains after adjusting for socioeconomic status and the signs and symptoms of good health. Contrary to economists' rational-expectations hypothesis, young adults do not adjust their life expectancies upward to account for the favorable trends in mortality rates.

Keywords: Life; expectancy; Subjective; health; Sex; Race; United; States (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (26)

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