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Statistical inference for perturbed multiscale dynamical systems

Siragan Gailus and Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2017, vol. 127, issue 2, 419-448

Abstract: We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems. We prove consistency, asymptotic normality, and convergence of all scaled moments of an appropriately constructed maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for a parameter of interest, identifying precisely its limiting variance. We allow full dependence of coefficients on both slow and fast processes, which take values in the full Euclidean space; coefficients in the equation for the slow process need not be bounded and there is no assumption of periodic dependence. The results provide a theoretical basis for calibration of small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems. Data from numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the theory.

Keywords: Multiscale processes; Small noise; Parameter estimation; Stochastic dynamical systems (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2016.06.013

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