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Strong approximation and a central limit theorem for St. Petersburg sums

I. Berkes

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2019, vol. 129, issue 11, 4500-4509

Abstract: The St. Petersburg paradox (Bernoulli, 1738) concerns the fair entry fee in a game where the winnings are distributed as P(X=2k)=2−k,k=1,2,…. The tails of X are not regularly varying and the sequence Sn of accumulated gains has, suitably centered and normalized, a class of semistable laws as subsequential limit distributions (Martin-Löf, 1985; Csörgő and Dodunekova, 1991). This has led to a clarification of the paradox and an interesting and unusual asymptotic theory in past decades. In this paper we prove that Sn can be approximated by a semistable Lévy process {L(n),n≥1} with a.s. error O(n(logn)1+ε) and, surprisingly, the error term is asymptotically normal, exhibiting an unexpected central limit theorem in St. Petersburg theory.

Keywords: St. Petersburg sums; Semistable process; Strong approximation; Central limit theorem (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2018.12.003

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