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Mutation timing in a spatial model of evolution

Jasmine Foo, Kevin Leder and Jason Schweinsberg

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2020, vol. 130, issue 10, 6388-6413

Abstract: Motivated by models of cancer formation in which cells need to acquire k mutations to become cancerous, we consider a spatial population model in which the population is represented by the d-dimensional torus of side length L. Initially, no sites have mutations, but sites with i−1 mutations acquire an ith mutation at rate μi per unit area. Mutations spread to neighboring sites at rate α, so that t time units after a mutation, the region of individuals that have acquired the mutation will be a ball of radius αt. We calculate, for some ranges of the parameter values, the asymptotic distribution of the time required for some individual to acquire k mutations. Our results, which build on previous work of Durrett, Foo, and Leder, are essentially complete when k=2 and when μi=μ for all i.

Keywords: Cancer; Mutations; Spatial population model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2020.05.015

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