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Markov branching processes with disasters: Extinction, survival and duality to p-jump processes

Felix Hermann and Peter Pfaffelhuber

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2020, vol. 130, issue 4, 2488-2518

Abstract: A p-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with multiplicative jumps by a factor of p. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting results for the survival probabilities of time-homogeneous branching processes with arbitrary offspring distributions, underlying binomial disasters. Extending this method, we obtain corresponding results for time-inhomogeneous birth–death processes underlying time-dependent binomial disasters and continuous state branching processes with p-jumps.

Keywords: Piecewise deterministic Markov process; Branching process; Branching process with disasters; Duality of Markov processes; Extinction probability; Survival probability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2019.07.011

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