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Approximations of large population epidemic models

Nancy Lopes Garcia

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 1995, vol. 60, issue 1, 147-160

Abstract: The large population asymptotics of a spatial epidemic model is studied through the representation of the process as a projection of a higher dimensional Poisson processes. The density process (In(t)) of infected individuals at time t converges to a deterministic process (I(t)). Moreover, there exists a Gaussian process V such that [radical sign]n(In - I) converges to V in the sense of Schwarz distributions. The process In(t) can be used to model focus expansion experiments in phytopathology.

Keywords: Poisson point process Epidemic model S-I-R model Predictable sets; Projection method Schwarz distributions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1995
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