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Distributions in the constant-differentials Pólya process

Hosam M. Mahmoud and Panpan Zhang

Statistics & Probability Letters, 2020, vol. 156, issue C

Abstract: We study a class of unbalanced constant-differentials Pólya processes on white and blue balls. We show that the number of white balls, the number of blue balls, and the total number of balls, when appropriately scaled, all converge in distribution to gamma random variables with parameters depending on the differential index and the amount of ball addition at the epochs, but not on the initial conditions. The result is obtained by an analytic approach utilizing partial differential equations. We present a martingale formulation that may provide alternatives.

Keywords: Pólya urn; Pólya process; Partial differential equation; Method of characteristic curves; Transport equation; Continuous-time martingale (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2019.108592

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