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Asymptotics of certain conditionally identically distributed sequences

Patrizia Berti, Emanuela Dreassi, Luca Pratelli and Pietro Rigo

Statistics & Probability Letters, 2021, vol. 168, issue C

Abstract: The probability distribution of a sequence X=(X1,X2,…) of random variables is determined by its predictive distributions P(X1∈⋅) and P(Xn+1∈⋅∣X1,…,Xn), n≥1. Motivated by applications in Bayesian predictive inference, in Berti et al. (2020), a class C of sequences is introduced by specifying such predictive distributions. Each X∈C is conditionally identically distributed. The asymptotics of X∈C is investigated in this paper. Both strong and weak limit theorems are provided. Conditions for X to converge a.s., and for X not to converge in probability, are given in terms of the predictive distributions. A stable CLT is provided as well. Such a CLT is used to obtain approximate credible intervals.

Keywords: Bayesian nonparametrics; Conditional identity in distribution; Exchangeability; Limit theorem; Predictive distribution; Predictive inference (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2020.108923

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