A model selection procedure for time series with seasonality

Philip Hans Franses

Statistics & Probability Letters, 1993, vol. 16, issue 4, 253-258

Abstract: In this paper a model selection test procedure for seasonal time series is proposed. It uses the estimated autocorrelations of the moving average part of the Box and Jenkins airline model. This ensures that the test statistics asymptotically follow standard normal distributions. The merits and limitations of the procedure are illustrated via simulations as well as by some empirical series.

Keywords: Time; series; seasonality; model; selection (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1993
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