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Averaging p-values under exchangeability

Woohyun Choi and Ilmun Kim

Statistics & Probability Letters, 2023, vol. 194, issue C

Abstract: A classical result indicates that the arithmetic average of p-values multiplied by the factor of 2 is a valid p-value under arbitrary dependence among p-values. Moreover, this constant factor cannot be improved in general without additional assumptions. Given this classical result, we study the average of p-values under exchangeability, which is a natural generalization of the i.i.d. assumption. Somewhat surprisingly, we prove that exchangeability is not enough to improve the constant factor of 2. This negative result motivates us to explore other conditions under which it is possible to obtain a smaller constant factor. Finally, we discuss certain benefits of the average of p-values over the average of statistics in terms of statistical power and provide empirical results that verify our theoretical findings.

Keywords: Arithmetic average; Exchangeability; Power analysis; p-value; Stable distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2022.109748

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