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A new criterion for variable selection

R. Philips and I. Guttman

Statistics & Probability Letters, 1998, vol. 38, issue 1, 11-19

Abstract: The variable/model selection problem is reexamined from a Bayesian perspective using data splitting to establish a joint prior for the relevent parameters. This allows for the required integrations that have to be performed to be over the same dimensional parameter space. It also produces a result which is independent of the scaling of both the independent as well as dependent variables. The posterior probability of each model [infinity] is calculated, where the subscript [alpha] is used to index the subsets of the predictor variables. This probability is shown to be asymptotically equal to 1, if [alpha] is the correct model. A new model selection criterion is also derived from this expression. Examples using simulated data and real data sets are provided.

Keywords: Variable; selection; Model; selection; Posterior; probability; Data; splitting; prior (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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