Further results on inquiry and truth possession

Don Fallis and Gerrard Liddell

Statistics & Probability Letters, 2002, vol. 60, issue 2, 169-182

Abstract: Goldman and Shaked (Statist. Probab. Lett. 12 (1991) 415) show that, for all reciprocally convex measures of truth possession, experiments are always "objectively" expected to increase a scientist's degree of truth possession. We show that this result is optimal. Further, we argue that all scientifically acceptable measures of truth possession are proper scoring rules. However, no bounded proper scoring rules are reciprocally convex. Thus, we establish that, for many scientifically acceptable measures of truth possession, experiments are only "subjectively" expected to increase a scientist's degree of truth possession.

Keywords: Philosophy; of; science; Truth; acquisition; Scientific; experiment; Proper; scoring; rules; Truth; possession; Epistemic; utility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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