Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2026

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().

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Volume 231, issue C, 2026

Equitable sociotechnical reconfiguration: A model for analyzing the microfundations of socioenvironmental Fintechs

Simone S. Luvizan, Erica Souza Siqueira and Hélida Norato

Environmental regulatory pressure, artificial intelligence and corporate green innovation bubbles in China

Yu Li, Changqi Tao, Jiawei Qian and Tao Xie

Best of both worlds? Balancing social welfare and environmental burden of smart transportation technologies

Xiaofeng Xu, Yijing Wang, Yirui Deng, Mingyue Jiang and Victor Shi

Affordance actualisation in a disruptive environment: The role of blockchain technology

Jiaqi Yang, Alireza Amrollahi, Robbie Moulding, Josh Morton and John Palfreyman

Examining generative AI and multi-dimensional drivers for sustainable development: A configurational theory approach

Abu Bakkar Siddik, Anna Min Du and John W. Goodell

Why do people resist mobile health applications? Understanding public resistance intention through extended innovation resistance theory

Pei-Hsuan Tsai and Wen-Hsuan Lo

When digital servitization pays off for manufacturing SMEs: A configurational approach

Antonios Karatzas, Dimitrios Dousios and Marko Bastl

From matchmakers to innovation machines: market generativity in the Bubble.io ecosystem

Mahdieh Sarbazvatan and Mohammad Keyhani

Technology readiness levels for policy making: Lessons from the autonomous vehicle hype cycle

Diana Hicks, Navya Gupta, Naseeb Souweidane, Sergio Pelaez and Gordon Kingsley

A silent drag: Does artificial intelligence lower adolescents' academic performance?

Siying Yang, Hua Bai and Shengtao Sun

Corrigendum to “Does post disclosure inquiry based supervision crowd out green innovation? Evidence from stock exchange inquiry letters in China” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 230 (2026) 124770:1–14/ID: TFS-D-25-10815]

Min Hong, Jingqi Shi, Manjiang Xing and Yuzhi Zhong

Unlocking AI robotics adoption in innovative firms: Make, buy or ally?

David Audretsch, Maksim Belitski and Nada Rejeb

Artificial intelligence policy and the distortion of green innovation: Evidence from a multi-period quasi-natural experiment

Yu Hao and Xueyu Rui

Fair competition and innovation quality: Evidence from the fair competition review system

Jie Dong, Gang Chen and Houjian Li

Large Language Models in human resource management: A systematic literature review of applications, open issues and future research directions

Thomas K. Dasaklis, Panagiotis G. Giannopoulos, Dimitris Koutras, Vangelis Malamas and Panos T. Chountalas

Generative AI for socially responsible and resilient supply chains: Mapping drivers, challenges, risks, practices, and performance measures

Ismail Erol, Javad Pakdel and Ahmet Oztel

Artificial intelligence adoption and heterogeneous strategies of open innovation: Implications for firm-level value creation efficiency

Xiangyu Luan

The moderating effect of national culture on the relationships between antecedents and attitude and intention for AI adoption: A meta-analysis

Hongli Wang, Binjie Zhao, Yuxin Jiao, Cuiqi Liang and Guanbin Zheng

Environmental penalties and their spillover effects on green innovation: Dual perspectives of geographical and supply chain network proximity

Fang Dong, Weijia Liu and Zhiqing Wang

The “Gold Rush” in AI and robotics patenting activity. Do innovation systems have a role?

Giovanni Guidetti, Riccardo Leoncini and Mariele Macaluso

Mirage of maturity: How social dynamics alone can generate the Hype Cycle of technological expectations

Tomoya Akiyama, Yin Long and Yoshikuni Yoshida

When digital aid meets reality: A socio-technical analysis of feasibility requirements in cash-based interventions

Aima Khan, Ahmed A. Abdelgawad, Hossein Baharmand and Fabio Sgarbossa

Human-in-the-loop by default? Demography, ideology, and civic commitment in the acceptance of autonomous security robots across risk scenarios

Nik Hynek, Beata Gavurova, Marinko Skare, Matus Kubak and Michal Senk

How ecosystem density shapes entrepreneurial engagement: The moderating role of digital infrastructure

Yaru You, Xinli Huang and Rui Li

Brokering permission under uncertainty: How regulatory sandboxes architect innovation governance

Thomas Anning-Dorson and George Acheampong

Artificial intelligence adoption and green innovation: Insights from a nonlinear perspective using generalized random forests

Limei Ma, Xuelin Sun, Xinyi Li, Zanyu Chen and Yadong Liang

Retraction notice to “AI-generated agents with expert personas in biotechnology: Delphi evaluation of emerging technologies and future trajectories” [Technol. Forecasting & Social Change 227 (2026) 124621]

Hayoon Lee, Juhyun Lee and Heyoung Yang

Volume 230, issue C, 2026

Quantifying aggregate-level telework occasions and their impacts on vehicle-miles traveled in the US

Sung Hoo Kim, Xinyi Wang and Patricia L. Mokhtarian

Technological innovation, AI and digital transformation inferences on company performance and business models

Małgorzata Tarczyńska-Łuniewska, Grațiela-Georgiana Noja, Alexandra-Mădălina Țăran, Piotr Niemcewicz and Jelena Stankevičienė

Smart cities, unequal outcomes: Artificial intelligence, environmental regulation, and urban carbon distribution in China

Zhiyi Li, Zijun Li, Lei Jin and Yanze Wang

From logics to legitimacy in public sector: Institutional determinants of interoperability between digital circular innovation and sustainable outcomes

Anam Nusrat, Xi Li, Norah Albishri, Nidhi Sahore and Dhruv Galgotia

R&D tax credits and subsidies: Implications for innovation novelty in emerging economies

Pelin Demirel, Effie Kesidou and Lichao Wu

Regulatory governance and AI innovation quality: A cross-country evaluation of technology, institutions, and ESG outcomes

Meijie Yao, Wei Chen, Sabrine Mallek and Irum Shahzadi

Study of the co-evolution of heterogeneous policy combinations with AI-driven carbon emission monitoring and dynamic carbon trading mechanisms

Yue Li, Guofu Li, Sarah Yvonne Cooper, Hongqi Wang and Anfeng Xu

Humanizing artificial intelligence: How employee appropriation of technology can improve well-being

Antonio Cimino, Vincenzo Corvello, Francesco Longo, Vittorio Solina and Asha Thomas

Learning about unknowable tools: Bricolage in communities of practice for generative AI

Ricardo Coelho da Silva, Charles-Clemens Rüling, Raffi Duymedjian and Leid Zejnilovic

Evaluating and predicting the carbon footprint of training and inference for large-scale AI models in China

Kaile Zhou, Ziwei Yang and Yaxuan Gao

Human-centered digitalization: Evidence from the B2B sales profession

Ajax Persaud

Social innovation for a sustainable bioeconomy - a bibliometric analysis

Matthias Mueller, S. Türkeli, R. Wintjes, R. Kemp and C. Boldt

AI-enabled information processing capability as drivers of firm resilience: Insights from information processing mechanisms

Xingwei Lu, Fan Wu, Xianhao Xu, Yan Liu and Youzhu Li

How technological progress in robotics, AI, and IT/ICT/IoT reshapes employment: A robust analysis for the United States

Amir Khakbaz and Behnam Malmir

The impact of virtual reality on emotional ambivalence: The role of managerial power

Mercedes Fevre-Obarrio, Francesco D. Sandulli and David Pascual-Ezama

Digital trade policy, innovation, and employment: Evidence from cross-border e-commerce pilot zones

Yuchen Wu, Qi Zhen, Yabin Zhang and Yang Gao

How regulatory knowledge emerges: A multi-stage qualitative examination of boundary work across tacit and codified channels

Kaiyi Liu, Reeti Agarwal, Tao Peng, Melita Nicotra and Maria Teresa Cuomo

From regulatory learning to institutional change: How organizations translate regulatory engagement into governance influence

Fan Yang, Ankit Mehrotra, Huimin Bo, Paola Pisano and Valentina Cillo

Deconstructing the green productivity paradox: How AI-enabled green innovation shapes efficiency and technological change

Yuan Wang

Artificial intelligence exposure and labor market transformations in Latin America

Pablo Egana-delSol and Claudio Bravo-Ortega

Bridging industry and technology: The spatial and sectoral embedded dynamics of green technology diversification

Xiaoqi Zhou, Keungoui Kim, Rongjun Ao, Jing Chen, Jinbo Yan and Dieter F. Kogler

AI knowledge coupling and the structural robustness of traditional industry innovation networks: The moderating roles of complementarity and substitutability

Jiajie Wang and Xiaoling Cheng

Industry 5.0 technologies to enable innovation in the era of twin transition: A case study on the nexus between SMEs and regulators

Roberto Cerchione, Antonio Messeni Petruzzelli, Armando Papa and Viviana Sicardi

Regulatory science in capital markets: How do inquiry letters shape corporate innovation?

Hui Liu

Science-based regulation, managerial risk preference and corporate risk-taking: Evidence from China

Yuanyu Guo, Yi Zhou and Liang Li

Sustainable competitiveness through regulatory trust: How indian small and medium enterprises transform regulation into innovation

Aruna Polisetty, Sowmya G, Debarun Chakraborty and Stefano Bresciani

Behavioral evolution and institutional coordination of multi-agent interactions in low-altitude airspace governance

Jun-jie Dong, Xuan-yi Pan and Yuan-kai Huang

Customer foresight: A case study on synchronizing qualitative sensing with quantitative validation

Laura Bechthold, Jan Oliver Schwarz, Carmen Fischer-Seeger, David Jonker and Rupert Hofmann

Regulatory science, earnings management, and stock price crash risk: Evidence from disclosure-oriented supervision in China

Lin Wang and Fengqin Liu

Does post disclosure inquiry based supervision crowd out green innovation? Evidence from stock exchange inquiry letters in China

Min Hong, Jingqi Shi, Manjiang Xing and Yuzhi Zhong

How can updates drive market success? A study on value capture through versioning strategies in digital innovation

Yong Dong Liu, Shengce Ren, Yougen Cao and Jie Deng

Impact of artificial intelligence on supply chain resilience: A dynamic capabilities perspective

Guoli Pu, Ye Gao, Yushen Wang and Jianqi Qiao

Macroeconomic dynamics of digital technology: A multidimensional analysis of financialization, globalization, and industrialization

Jun Wen, Zafia Bibi, Seemab Gillani and Muhammad Nouman Shafiq

The impact of unrealistic-style NFTs on consumers' intention to purchase and hold

Zhichen Hu, Baolong Ma and Rubing Bai