Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
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Volume 220, issue C, 2025

Forecasting the adoption of decontamination robots in the COVID era

Angel Contreras Cruz, Kelly Cowan, Ashwaq Al Khalil, Aynur Kirbac and Ozgul Ayyildiz

How configurations of legitimacy shape directionality in technological innovation systems: The case of plant-based meat alternatives in Sweden

Helena Fornstedt, Thomas Taro Lennerfors, Johnn Andersson and Paul Plummer

Corrigendum to “Predicting the core determinants of cloud-edge computing adoption (CECA) for sustainable development in the higher education institutions of Africa: A high order SEM-ANN analytical approach” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 199 (2024) 1–17 (122979)]

Kamal Kant Hiran and Manish Dadhich

Achieving inclusive digital development: A frugal strategy based on lessons from three West African smallholder agriculture value chains

Nicolas Paget, Mariette McCampbell, Baba Ba, Moussa Bamba, Jean-Daniel Cesaro, Serena Ferrari, Martin Notaro, Florent Okry, Camille Richebourg and Pascal Bonnet

Strategic scenarios for the digitalisation of chronic disease care management: A 10-year foresight case study in Lisbon's primary healthcare setting

Mariana Peyroteo and Luís Velez Lapão

Regional CO2 emission efficiency in China and configurational paths for improvement

Jiawei Li, Zhiyi Qiu, Fangqing Wei and Jingwei Liang

“Assessment of circular economy strategies for climate change mitigation”: A forecast on India's path to a net zero future

Thakur Singh Kharayat and Himanshu Gupta

Exploring user acceptance of physical intelligent assistants: A study on AI-powered eyewear

Ben Niu and Gustave Florentin Nkoulou Mvondo

How robot application empowers industrial low-carbon development: A study based on the perspective of carbon reduction and efficiency enhancement

Shan Wang, Haiqian Chen and Donghua Yu

Financing sustainable farming: The role of trust in the adoption of fintech by farmers

Max Antonius Köster, William Hurst and Caspar Krampe

Drivers and barriers of AI adoption and use in scientific research

Stefano Bianchini, Moritz Müller and Pierre Pelletier

Mapping public perception of artificial intelligence: Expectations, risk–benefit tradeoffs, and value as determinants for societal acceptance

Philipp Brauner, Felix Glawe, Gian Luca Liehner, Luisa Vervier and Martina Ziefle

Impact of e-waste regulations on firms' R&D and marketing expenditures: Insights for a circular economy

Ashutosh Singh, Ankit Mehrotra, Rsha Alghafes and Jasmine Mohsen

Did the main functional area planning promote green development in China?

Zihao Ma and Pingdan Zhang

Experience curve analyses for green hydrogen technology development

Saheed Bello and David Reiner

Linkage mechanism of antecedents for employees' continuous adoption of artificial intelligence virtual assistants

Xi-xi Zhang and Xing-lin Hao

Carbon taxes vs. cap-and-trade: Do policy choices influence enterprise emissions dynamics and strategic responses?

Ke Jiang, Liping Xu and Jiaming Zhang

Unpacking the decision-making evolution mechanism of governance actors towards smart municipal solid waste (MSW) management: an insight from game approach

Xinyu Hao, Tingting Tian, Kaiqin Li, Xiaoling Zhang and Liang Dong

A system dynamics-based comprehensive investment benefit and carbon reduction evaluation for CCUS-EOR projects

Xiaorong Sun, Xiangxiang Zhao, Lichen Gu, Chenhao Jin, Xueping Pan and Shinae Jang

When things fall apart: Exploring brand hate in influencer endorsements

Yan-Rong Pan, Garry Wei-Han Tan, Eugene Cheng-Xi Aw and Keng-Boon Ooi

Customer behavior in the presence of algorithmic marketing agents: The role of hedonic values

Alvaro Chacon, Carolina Martínez-Troncoso and Edgar E. Kausel

Mitigating liabilities of foreignness in migrant entrepreneurship: The role of AI in building virtual embeddedness

Stoyan Stoyanov and Veselina Stoyanova

Deploying explainable AI in entrepreneurial organizations: Role of the human-AI interface

Sanjay Chaudhary, Ashraf Khalil, Rekha Attri and Peter Ractham

A data-driven approach to establishing a patent strategy by generating a patent map based on generative topographic mapping

Jaehoon Jung, Sunhye Kim and Byungun Yoon

The fear of being replaced by generative AI: An examination of influential factors among office workers

Hyeon Jo and Do-Hyung Park

AI integration for climate risk mitigation: The role of organizational context

Muhammad Kaleem Khan, Muhammad Jameel Hussain, Muhammad Wasim Hussan, Afifa Qadeer, Anona Armstrong and Shanshan Li

Understanding mass-market electric vehicle adoption: Integrating diffusion of innovation theory with risk mitigation strategy in Germany

Ellen Enkel and Sander Wintgens

Metaverse as content or container? Exploring the future of customer experience in tourism

Michele Simoni, Annarita Sorrentino and Luca Venturini

Volume 219, issue C, 2025

How does AI-powered virtual influencer's anthropomorphism impact trust and brand love? The moderating role of opinion leadership

Anisur Rehman, Sushant Kumar, Muhammad Asif Salam and Naveen Virmani

On the relevance of Maslow's need theory in the age of artificial intelligence

Christian Montag, A. Mehdi Riazi, George Mikros, Benjamin Becker and Raian Ali

How does the adoption of digital technologies in supply chain management enhance supply chain performance? A mediated and moderated model

Farooq Ahmed Jam, Imran Ali, Norah Albishri, Ali Mammadov and Amiya Kumar Mohapatra

User practices in shaping complementarities for creating diverse systems of use: Insights from users in situations of hearing loss

Neva Bojovic, Annabelle Gawer and Vincent Mangematin

Artificial intelligence and urban social risk in China: A spatial analysis

Zhiyuan Gao, Ying Zhao, Lianqing Li and Yu Hao

The impact of Additive Manufacturing on supply chain resilience: a Delphi study

Mirco Peron, Nicolò Saporiti, Antonio Maria Coruzzolo, Francesco Lolli and Jan Holmström

Proactive social learning and green product consumption: Evidence from new energy vehicle sales in China

Zhe Jiang, Ning Liu, Xiaobing Zhang, Yanlai Chu and Lin Zhang

A reevaluation on the effectiveness of subsidies on firm's innovation: Evidence from newly categorized subsidy data

Hong Yu, Muyang Zhang and Ruolu Zhu

Digital transformation: Unlocking supply chain resilience through adaptability and innovation

Haris Aslam, Attique ur Rehman, Anas Iftikhar, Muhammad Zia ul Haq, Usman Akbar and Muhammad Mustafa Kamal

The link between China's catchup process and the China-US technology decoupling

Zhenzhen Xie, Yuxuan Zhao, Peter Ping Li and Rui Wu

Circular economy readiness and digital solutions: redefining urban sustainability through human-centered technological advancements

Khalid Mehmood, Pradeep Kautish, Juthamon Sithipolvanichgul and Pragya Gupta

Reconsider the role of digital revolution in public sector during the time of climate risk: Fresh insights from panel autoregression model

Le Thanh Ha

Forging sustainable synergies: Unleashing fintech-driven supply chain collaboration for enhanced green supply chain performance

Khalid Mehmood, Pradeep Kautish, Ankit Mehrotra, Hind Alofaysan and Armando Papa

From phone booths to Wi-Fi kiosks: the spatial inequality of public connectivity in New York City

Ryan Yang Wang

Gender perspectives on drone technology adoption in healthcare logistics

Vipul Garg, Suman Niranjan, Rishabh Rana, Victor Prybutok and Terrance Pohlen

Understanding the impact of culture on the teleological evaluation of delegation to artificial intelligence-enabled information systems

James Parrish and Kashif Saeed

Unpacking the role of entrepreneurial orientation in the digital transformation of family SMEs: The importance of leadership structure and generational involvement

Amaia Maseda, Txomin Iturralde and Unai Arzubiaga

Realising human-robot collaboration in manufacturing? A journey towards industry 5.0 amid organisational paradoxical tensions

Tiziana C. Callari, Ylenia Curzi and Niels Lohse

Value creation and value capture in NFT business models: Insights from blockchain-based ventures

Arash Rezazadeh and René Bohnsack

How do state internet regulations impact innovation? A cross-country configural narrative

Supunmali Ahangama, Satish Krishnan, Nidhi Singh and Sushant Kumar Vishnoi

Investigating the role of customer's disadoption and dynamic shifts in mobile cellular diffusion: Evidence from emerging economies

Shakshi Singhal, Yasmeen Bano and Ompal Singh

Can we have the best of both worlds? The impact of emission trading system on carbon reduction and economic growth in China

Yu Yang, Qi Zhang, A-Min Zhao and Hui Gao

Navigating human-technology dynamics: Exploring innovation resistance to smartphone apps in amusement parks

Rossella Canestrino, Angelo Bonfanti, Pierpaolo Magliocca and Francesco Caputo

Corrigendum to “Do you believe it? Examining user engagement with fake news on social media platforms” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change. volume 212, March 2025, 123950]

Neha Chaudhuri, Gaurav Gupta, Aleš Popovič and Indranil Bose

New inequality in equality: An empirical study on the effects of device and physical environment appropriateness divide on E-learning outcomes

Cuicui Cao, Yuni Li, Ling Zhao and Yuan Li

Mission-Oriented Transition Assessment as a reflective approach to mission governance

Tom B.J. Coenen, Martijn Wiarda, Klaasjan Visscher, Caetano C.R. Penna and Leentje Volker

Who leads the chain? Deciphering the trajectory of global value network in technology-intensive manufacturing and innovation effects

Yingjie Yu, Debin Du and Qixiang Li

AI driver or assistant? The impact of gendered interfaces on disempowerment dynamics in fully autonomous vehicles

Kathleen Desveaud and Giulia Pavone

How does digital intelligence drive the SRDI development of SMEs? Evidence from Chinese-style niche enterprises

Jingkun Bai and Guimin Qu

Empowering AI with experiential learning: Implications from analysing user-generated content

Ashutosh Singh, Reeti Agarwal, Rsha Alghafes and Armando Papa

Achieving sustainable carbon-neutral supply chain: A perspective of integrating blockchain technology

Aditi Saha, Rakesh D. Raut, Mukesh Kumar, Sanjoy Kumar Paul, Yangyan Shi, Bhavin Shah and Sudishna Ghoshal

The impact of natural disasters on firm search orientation: Evidence from a natural experiment

Wonsang Ryu, JaSeung Koo, Taiki Ito and Seung Hun Han

Towards an experiential ethics of AI and robots: A review of empirical research on human encounters

Björn Fischer and Susanne Frennert

Unlocking the black box: Enhancing human-AI collaboration in high-stakes healthcare scenarios through explainable AI

Reda Hassan, Nhien Nguyen, Stine Rasdal Finserås, Lars Adde, Inga Strümke and Ragnhild Støen

Intermediating mechanisms and market conditions in big data knowledge management for enhanced market performance

Junaid Aftab, Feng Wei, Mohit Srivastava, Nabila Abid and Muhammad Ishtiaq Ishaq

Aggregate vs micromodels for forecasting the diffusion of new technologies

Vahideh Sadat Abedi and Hossein Eslami

Urban digitalization and government environmental attention: An attention allocation theory perspective

Zhe Sun, Lei Liu, Rekha Attri, Liang Zhao and Hind Alofaysan

Driving sustainability through Healthcare 4.0 technologies

Karine Borges de Oliveira, Yigit Kazancoglu and Otávio José de Oliveira

Public-private partnerships as catalysts for digital transformation and circular economy: Insights from developing countries

Umair Tanveer, Thinh Gia Hoang, Shamaila Ishaq and Raja Usman Khalid

Towards mining 4.0: A novel multi-criteria simulation-optimization fuzzy framework for effective slag utilization overcoming green waste management promotion

Mohammad Shamsi and Mohammad Zakerinejad

Fostering responsible AI adoption in startups through entrepreneurial orientation: A sustainable approach

Safiya Mukhtar Alshibani, Diana Korayim, Ankit Mehrotra and Vaishali Agarwal

Revolutionising retail: A review of Intelligent Unmanned Convenience Stores and their market implications

Tanu Priya Kohli, Smitu Malhotra and Venugopal Pingali

Monitoring new and emerging technologies in order to prevent extremism and terrorist violence

Christian Büscher and Isabel Kusche

Determinants of firms' decisions to block AI crawlers: Strategic insights from the BEDC framework

Chiang-Yu Cheng

The optimal timing of clean technology adoption: A stochastic cost–benefit analysis

Dávid Zoltán Szabó, Péter Csóka and Réka Janosik

Managing uncertainty under sudden operational closures: The role of implied volatility, positive sentiment, and productivity

Divesh Ojha, Pankaj C. Patel, Francesco Chirico and Amandeep Dhir

The intersection of publics services digitalization and women's empowerment in tax revenue mobilization

Omang Ombolo Messono

Falling out with AI-buddies: The hidden costs of treating AI as a partner versus servant during service failure

Bo Huang, Sandra Laporte, Sylvain Sénécal and Kamila Sobol

Transforming supply chain operations: Unveiling the path ahead by leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) to drive the shift towards carbon neutrality (CN)

Li Zheng, Rong Zhou, Nidhi Singh, Muhammad Zafar Yaqub and Saeed Badghish

Dynamic roles and temporal evolution in innovation ecosystems: A case study of quantum technologies

Saeed Roshani

How do farmers' cognition and social networks affect the adoption behavior of straw-returning technology? Evidence from the black soil region of Northeast China

Zhanlu Zou, Jianjun Jin, Jie Yang, Dan Liu and Xuan Zhang

Sustainable futures: What's driving France's eco-revolution?

Kishwar Ali, Qingyu Zhang and Francesco Paolo Appio

From oligarchy to decentralization: Network structures and collaboration on digital platforms

Chao Liu

Toward clean cooking: Predicting consumers' intentions to purchase improved cookstoves in Sub-Saharan countries

Vania Vigolo, Alessandro Galimberti, Nicola Cobelli and Bruno Nazim Baroni

Collaborative innovation and knowledge spillovers in open innovation ecosystems: Exploring the roles of network stability and technological niche

Xuemei Xie and Hong Yu

Stimulus-organism-response framework of decision-makers intention to adopt generative AI to replace entry-level jobs: The moderating impact of personality traits

Mohammad Dalvi-Esfahani, Hajar Barati-Ahmadabadi, T. Ramayah, Jason J. Turner, Noorminshah A. Iahad and Nasrin Azar

An interpretable two-stage adaptive deep learning model for humanitarian aid information prediction and emergency response support

Yi Feng, Xinwei Wang, Dujuan Wang, Yunqiang Yin and Joshua Ignatius

Applying machine learning to predict production capacity for engineer-to-order products: Learning from wind turbine industry

Yanlan Mao, Jan Holmström and Yang Cheng

Does individuals' pro-environmental behavior in the virtual world influence their perceived human-nature connection? The green consumption effect

Jian Gao, Liyu Tang and Jianguo Wang

Integrating the REA model and multisig architecture for blockchain-based supply chain traceability: An organisational-technical approach

Shoufeng Cao, Thomas Miller, Marcus Foth and Warwick Powell

Corrigendum to “work intensification in hybrid workplace: The potential downstream effects on perceived exploitation and negative work outcomes” [technological forecasting and social change, volume 218, 2025, 124221, ISSN 0040–1625]

Abdallah Alsaad, A. Mohammed Abubakar and Salihu Dasuki

The endorsement effectiveness of virtual influencers in nonprofit fundraising: The role of appearance and voice pitch

Jiehang Song, Chundong Zheng, Xiarong Lv and Xavier Font