Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2026

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().

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Volume 230, issue C, 2026

Quantifying aggregate-level telework occasions and their impacts on vehicle-miles traveled in the US

Sung Hoo Kim, Xinyi Wang and Patricia L. Mokhtarian

Technological innovation, AI and digital transformation inferences on company performance and business models

Małgorzata Tarczyńska-Łuniewska, Grațiela-Georgiana Noja, Alexandra-Mădălina Țăran, Piotr Niemcewicz and Jelena Stankevičienė

Smart cities, unequal outcomes: Artificial intelligence, environmental regulation, and urban carbon distribution in China

Zhiyi Li, Zijun Li, Lei Jin and Yanze Wang

From logics to legitimacy in public sector: Institutional determinants of interoperability between digital circular innovation and sustainable outcomes

Anam Nusrat, Xi Li, Norah Albishri, Nidhi Sahore and Dhruv Galgotia

R&D tax credits and subsidies: Implications for innovation novelty in emerging economies

Pelin Demirel, Effie Kesidou and Lichao Wu

Regulatory governance and AI innovation quality: A cross-country evaluation of technology, institutions, and ESG outcomes

Meijie Yao, Wei Chen, Sabrine Mallek and Irum Shahzadi

Study of the co-evolution of heterogeneous policy combinations with AI-driven carbon emission monitoring and dynamic carbon trading mechanisms

Yue Li, Guofu Li, Sarah Yvonne Cooper, Hongqi Wang and Anfeng Xu

Humanizing artificial intelligence: How employee appropriation of technology can improve well-being

Antonio Cimino, Vincenzo Corvello, Francesco Longo, Vittorio Solina and Asha Thomas

Learning about unknowable tools: Bricolage in communities of practice for generative AI

Ricardo Coelho da Silva, Charles-Clemens Rüling, Raffi Duymedjian and Leid Zejnilovic

Evaluating and predicting the carbon footprint of training and inference for large-scale AI models in China

Kaile Zhou, Ziwei Yang and Yaxuan Gao

Human-centered digitalization: Evidence from the B2B sales profession

Ajax Persaud

Social innovation for a sustainable bioeconomy - a bibliometric analysis

M. Mueller, S. Türkeli, R. Wintjes, R. Kemp and C. Boldt

AI-enabled information processing capability as drivers of firm resilience: Insights from information processing mechanisms

Xingwei Lu, Fan Wu, Xianhao Xu, Yan Liu and Youzhu Li

How technological progress in robotics, AI, and IT/ICT/IoT reshapes employment: A robust analysis for the United States

Amir Khakbaz and Behnam Malmir

The impact of virtual reality on emotional ambivalence: The role of managerial power

Mercedes Fevre-Obarrio, Francesco D. Sandulli and David Pascual-Ezama

Digital trade policy, innovation, and employment: Evidence from cross-border e-commerce pilot zones

Yuchen Wu, Qi Zhen, Yabin Zhang and Yang Gao

How regulatory knowledge emerges: A multi-stage qualitative examination of boundary work across tacit and codified channels

Kaiyi Liu, Reeti Agarwal, Tao Peng, Melita Nicotra and Maria Teresa Cuomo

From regulatory learning to institutional change: How organizations translate regulatory engagement into governance influence

Fan Yang, Ankit Mehrotra, Huimin Bo, Paola Pisano and Valentina Cillo

Deconstructing the green productivity paradox: How AI-enabled green innovation shapes efficiency and technological change

Yuan Wang

Artificial intelligence exposure and labor market transformations in Latin America

Pablo Egana-delSol and Claudio Bravo-Ortega

Bridging industry and technology: The spatial and sectoral embedded dynamics of green technology diversification

Xiaoqi Zhou, Keungoui Kim, Rongjun Ao, Jing Chen, Jinbo Yan and Dieter F. Kogler

AI knowledge coupling and the structural robustness of traditional industry innovation networks: The moderating roles of complementarity and substitutability

Jiajie Wang and Xiaoling Cheng

Industry 5.0 technologies to enable innovation in the era of twin transition: A case study on the nexus between SMEs and regulators

Roberto Cerchione, Antonio Messeni Petruzzelli, Armando Papa and Viviana Sicardi

Regulatory science in capital markets: How do inquiry letters shape corporate innovation?

Hui Liu

Science-based regulation, managerial risk preference and corporate risk-taking: Evidence from China

Yuanyu Guo, Yi Zhou and Liang Li

Sustainable competitiveness through regulatory trust: How indian small and medium enterprises transform regulation into innovation

Aruna Polisetty, Sowmya G, Debarun Chakraborty and Stefano Bresciani

Behavioral evolution and institutional coordination of multi-agent interactions in low-altitude airspace governance

Jun-jie Dong, Xuan-yi Pan and Yuan-kai Huang

Customer foresight: A case study on synchronizing qualitative sensing with quantitative validation

Laura Bechthold, Jan Oliver Schwarz, Carmen Fischer-Seeger, David Jonker and Rupert Hofmann

Regulatory science, earnings management, and stock price crash risk: Evidence from disclosure-oriented supervision in China

Lin Wang and Fengqin Liu

Does post disclosure inquiry based supervision crowd out green innovation? Evidence from stock exchange inquiry letters in China

Min Hong, Jingqi Shi, Manjiang Xing and Yuzhi Zhong

How can updates drive market success? A study on value capture through versioning strategies in digital innovation

Yong Dong Liu, Shengce Ren, Yougen Cao and Jie Deng

Impact of artificial intelligence on supply chain resilience: A dynamic capabilities perspective

Guoli Pu, Ye Gao, Yushen Wang and Jianqi Qiao

Macroeconomic dynamics of digital technology: A multidimensional analysis of financialization, globalization, and industrialization

Jun Wen, Zafia Bibi, Seemab Gillani and Muhammad Nouman Shafiq

The impact of unrealistic-style NFTs on consumers' intention to purchase and hold

Zhichen Hu, Baolong Ma and Rubing Bai

Volume 229, issue C, 2026

Early-stage business models for commercializing university technology in the cleantech industry

Zurina Moktar, Feares Ben Hadj and Chander Velu

Corrigendum to “Prioritizing interoperable AI-driven solutions for sustainable circular economy in the public sector” [Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 224 (2026) 124513]

Safiya Mukhtar Alshibani, Abhishek Bhushan Singhal, Bhumika Gupta, Armando Papa and Manlio Del Giudice

Tracing origins: Comparing a heuristic, machine learning, and a large language model for migrant identification

David Bendig, Jonathan Hoke and Leoni Onken

“When Gen Z meets GenAI”: The perfect storm in higher education

Higor Leite, Cuauhtemoc Luna-Nevarez, Arne Baruca and Alison M. Joubert

Digital shadow AI risk theory (DART): A framework for managing data disclosure and privacy risks of AI tools at work

Glorin Sebastian

A catalytic regulatory framework for accelerating sustainable innovation

Derrick Boakye, Karen Amissah and Elias Osei

Is intelligent automation a welcome presence in the workplace?

Mariano Méndez-Suárez, Maja Ćukušić and Marco Savastano

Open source technology readiness level assessment and application to the case study of distributed recycling for additive manufacturing

Alessia Romani, Anamaria Barrera Bogoya, Fabio A. Cruz Sanchez, Hakim Boudaoud, Mauricio Camargo and Joshua M. Pearce

Embracing technological opportunities based on heterogeneous networks: An integrated link prediction approach for technology convergence of firms

Jianyu Zhao, Jingge Li, Xi Xi and Wei Liu

Forecasting benchmark product emergence via technological phylogeny and strategic features

Youwei He and Jeong-Dong Lee

Mobile money adoption: Unequal pathways to financial well-being across small enterprises

Thomas Anning-Dorson and Bright Senanu

Who do children trust? AI vs. human recommendations and the role of anthropomorphic design

Rufan Lin, Yongkang Chen and Manhao Guan

From regulation to innovation: How green innovation regulations shape the pathways and boundaries of corporate green technology innovation

Lu Chen, Yanqin Lv, Ping Yang and Lei Liu

Opening the black box: Operational principles, tools and frameworks that advance explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) models

Mark Anthony Camilleri

Balancing automation and augmentation in AI-enabled decision-making: A business model perspective from healthcare sector

Irina Atkova, Miia Jansson, Petri Ahokangas, Henna Härkönen, Tarek Rana and Gillian Vesty

Categorizing realist, critical, and pragmatist perspectives on innovation ecosystems: A research agenda and an initial application to artificial intelligence

Mareike Smolka, Philipp Neudert, Stefan Böschen, Bernd Carsten Stahl and Laurens Klerkx

Exploring barriers and opportunities in industrial hemp through NLP on social media

Yihan Huang, Md Abdul Quddus, David Suchoff and Md Fashiar Rahman

Structural characteristics of top management team cognitive schema and exploratory innovation

Yanhui Jiang, Furao Guo, Ting Xiao and Jianxiang Yin

From dislikes to discourse: The effects of concealing negative feedback on comment behaviors in YouTube

Lee, Seung Hwan (Shawn), Tong Wu and Tae Hun Kim

More than just digital platforms: A framework to uncover the characteristics of platform cooperatives through platform business models

Silvia Gadola, Simon Pek, Daniel Trabucchi and Tommaso Buganza

Generative AI-driven sustainability in supply chains: A micro foundation of dynamic capability towards a socially responsible supply chain to achieve greater societal change

Sanjeev Yadav, Ashutosh Samadhiya, Anil Kumar, Krishan Kumar Pandey, Sunil Luthra and Asmae El jaouhari

From regulatory review to co-evolution: Blockchain as regulatory infrastructure for business model innovation

Tachia Chin, Zhisheng Li and Francesco Caputo

Market competition dynamics under phasing the carbon policy: The case of Chinese electric vehicles

Lin Feng, Jianglang Cai, Yuebo Li, Qinqin Chen, Peng Jia, Adolf K.Y. Ng and Yui-yip Lau

The impact of intelligentization on farmers' planting structure: Evidence from Sichuan Province, China

Peitao Li, Bin Wang and Dingde Xu

Does e-government influence state fragility? Evidence from Africa

Salim Ahmed Mbouombouo Vessah and Sosson Tadadjeu

A study on the misallocation measurement of innovation factors in China from the perspective of biased technological progress

Yanni Liu and Yufen Chen