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How stable is the tourism-led growth hypothesis in Malaysia? Evidence from disaggregated tourism markets

Chor Foon Tang and Eu Chye Tan

Tourism Management, 2013, vol. 37, issue C, 52-57

Abstract: We contribute to the tourism-growth literature by applying the newly developed combined cointegration test and the recursive Granger causality test to re-assess the stability of the tourism-led growth hypothesis in Malaysia with respect to 12 different tourism markets. The cointegration test results suggest that economic growth of Malaysia is cointegrated with all the 12 selected tourism markets. However, the recursive Granger causality test shows that the tourism-led growth hypothesis in Malaysia is valid and stable with respect to tourist arrivals from only 8 out of the 12 tourism markets. Almost all of them are from developed countries. Hence, not all international visitor arrivals could effectively drive the growth of the Malaysian economy. In light of this, tourism marketing policies should focus more on those tourism markets that could significantly stimulate economic growth. However, there should not be total neglect of others as they potentially contribute to the economies of scale.

Keywords: Combined cointegration test; Tourism-led growth hypothesis; Recursive causality; Malaysia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:touman:v:37:y:2013:i:c:p:52-57

DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2012.12.014

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