Shipping equity risk behavior and portfolio management
Panos K. Pouliasis,
Nikos Papapostolou (),
Ioannis Kyriakou and
Ilias Visvikis ()
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2018, vol. 116, issue C, 178-200
This paper investigates the dynamics of stock price volatility for different vessel-type segments of the U.S, water transportation industry. We measure market exposure by a portfolio of tanker, dry bulk, container, and gas stocks to examine tail behavior and tail risk dependence. The role of mixture distributions in predicting future volatility is studied from both statistical and economic perspectives. We further test for predictability in co-movements in the tails of sectors returns. Findings indicate that large losses are strongly correlated, supporting asymmetric transmission processes for financial contagion. Finally, using a non-parametric approach, we extend the model to the multivariate case and assess the value of volatility and correlation timing in optimal portfolio selection. The results can help to improve the understanding of time-varying volatility, correlation and tail systemic risk of shipping stock markets, and consequently, have implications for risk management and asset allocation practices, as well as regulatory policies.
Keywords: Shipping stocks; Volatility forecasting; Risk assessment practices; Tail systemic risk; Portfolio strategies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:transa:v:116:y:2018:i:c:p:178-200
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://shop.elsevie ... _01_ooc_1&version=01
Access Statistics for this article
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice is currently edited by John (J.M.) Rose
More articles in Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().