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Market development of autonomous driving in Germany

Bernd Kaltenhäuser, Karl Werdich, Florian Dandl and Klaus Bogenberger

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2020, vol. 132, issue C, 882-910

Abstract: This paper presents a model to predict the market penetration of autonomous cars for passenger transportation, focussing on autonomous taxis without a steering wheel. For this, a discrete system dynamics model was created and evaluated where the input parameters have been taken from the literature and a survey. In this survey, user demands were investigated among 873 participants. It showed that gender, age, job situation, city size and monthly income have an impact on the trust in the technology of autonomous driving as well as on the willingness to use autonomous taxis. In contrast, no evidence of an impact was found for the respondent’s education or the numbers of adults or children in the household.

Keywords: Autonomous vehicles; Self-driving cars; Self-driving taxis; E-mobility; Discrete system dynamics model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2020.01.001

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