Effects of the Federal Aviation Administration's Compliance Program on aircraft incidents and accidents

Curtis G. Calabrese, Brett R.C. Molesworth, Julie Hatfield and Eve Slavich

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2022, vol. 163, issue C, 304-319

Abstract: A novel enforcement policy based on restorative justice principles was implemented by the United States Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) in 2015. In this study, interrupted time series regression analyses using generalized linear autoregressive moving average (GLARMA) models were used to analyze FAA investigated incident and accident counts, runway incursion caused by pilot deviation, and National Transport Safety Board (NTSB) accident count data from June 2010 to September 2020. An association was observed between the change in FAA’s enforcement policy and the increase in aircraft incidents, accidents, and runway incursions post-intervention (2015–2020). These adverse safety outcomes appear to be directly related to this policy change. Results highlight the risk of moving away from punishment as a means of reinforcing safe behavior and the need for careful theory-based implementation of alternative approaches.

Keywords: Aviation safety; Interrupted time series analysis; Restorative justice; General deterrence; Just culture (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856422001938
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:transa:v:163:y:2022:i:c:p:304-319

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/supportfaq.cws_home/regional
https://shop.elsevie ... _01_ooc_1&version=01

DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2022.07.016

Access Statistics for this article

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice is currently edited by John (J.M.) Rose

More articles in Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().