Pump or pedal? The impact of fuel prices on cycling in Germany

Jakob Findenegg and Jan Wessel

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2024, vol. 186, issue C

Abstract: We analyze the relationship between fuel prices and cycling in Germany. The estimated cross-elasticity is positive and significant for utilitarian traffic, and increased in 2022 when prices became more salient. To derive our results, we exploit fuel-price variations caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, among other factors. Cross-elasticities are then estimated by running both OLS and IV regression models on hourly bicycle counts from 72 automated counting stations. While cross-elasticities have been estimated for low-cycling countries such as the U.S. or Australia, our results provide valuable insights for transport planning and sustainable policy making in higher-cycling countries.

Keywords: Fuel prices; Bicycle ridership; Cross-elasticity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q41 R41 R48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2024.104146

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