Examining transport futures with scenario analysis and MCA

Robin Hickman (), Sharad Saxena, David Banister and Olu Ashiru

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2012, vol. 46, issue 3, 560-575

Abstract: Climate change is a global problem and across the world the transport sector is finding it difficult to break projected increases in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions; there are very few contexts where deep reductions in transport CO2 emissions are being made. A number of research studies are now examining the potential for future lower CO2 emissions in the transport sector. This paper develops this work to consider some of the wider sustainability impacts (economic, social and local environmental) as well as the lower CO2 transport impacts of different policy trajectories. Hence the central argument made is for an integrated approach to transport policy making over the longer term – incorporating scenario analysis and multi-criteria assessment (MCA) – to help assess likely progress against a range of objectives.

Keywords: Climate change; Low carbon; Transport; Multi criteria appraisal; Futures; Oxfordshire (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (36)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2011.11.006

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