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Impact of the Carat Canal on the evolution of hub ports under China’s Belt and Road initiative

Qingcheng Zeng, Grace W.Y. Wang, Chenrui Qu and Kevin X. Li

Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 2018, vol. 117, issue C, 96-107

Abstract: Under China’s Belt and Road (B&R) initiative, Carat Canal, a potential new channel of the Century Maritime Silk Road, will have a great impact on the shipping networks and the evolution of hub ports. A modified gravity prediction model with entropy maximizing principle is developed to calculate the changes in transshipment traffic. Taking account both customer preferences and spatial interaction, numerical experiments show that the opening of the Carat Canal shifts traffic volumes from the Malacca Strait, influences transshipment market shares among hub ports, and diversifies shipping network pattern. This study serves as a reference for hub port development along the Maritime Silk Road.

Keywords: China; Belt and Road initiative; OBOR; Carat Canal; Hub ports; Hub dimension; Shipping; Maritime Silk Road (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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