Comparative analysis of long-term road fatality targets for individual states in the US—An application of experience curve models

Yu Sang Chang

Transport Policy, 2014, vol. 36, issue C, 53-69

Abstract: Both the Federal government and individual state governments in the US establish long-term road fatality targets to plan and evaluate the effectiveness of their respective safety programs. The purpose of this paper is to develop a simple fatality projection model to project future fatality rates and number of fatalities through 2020 and 2030 for individual states. And then, long-term fatality target value established by ten selected states will be compared to our projected values to assess realism of these targets.

Keywords: Road fatality rate; Number of fatalities; Kinked experience equation; Classical experience equation; Strategic highway safety plans (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2014.07.005

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