Evaluation of the Swedish car fleet model using recent applications

Muriel Beser Hugosson, Staffan Algers, Shiva Habibi and Pia Sundbergh

Transport Policy, 2016, vol. 49, issue C, 30-40

Abstract: The composition of the car fleet with respect to age, fuel consumption and fuel types plays an important role on environmental effects, oil dependency and energy consumption. In Sweden, a number of different policies have been implemented to support CO2 emission reductions. In order to evaluate effects of different policies, a model for the evolution of the Swedish car fleet was developed in 2006. The model has been used in a number of projects since then, and it is now possible to compare forecasts with actual outcomes. Such evidence is relatively rare, and we think it may be useful to share our experience in this respect.

Keywords: Clean car policy; Car fleet model; Forecasting; Model evaluation; Scrapping model; Nested logit (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2016.03.010

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